- If Boise State wants to be mentioned among the elite programs, 2010 is their chance. The Broncos return every starter but one from 2009's undefeated team that shut down TCU in the Fiesta Bowl. Quarterback Kellen Moore deserves preseason Heisman consideration and the offense should be among the best in college football. The only thing standing in their way for a shot at the national championship are games against Oregon State and Virginia Tech, another team with national titel aspirations.
- Don't sleep on TCU, either. Gary Patterson's Horned Frogs lose several playmakers on defense, but they did last year too and just kept reloading. Quarterback Andy Dalton returns after a stellar 2009. Look for the Horned Frogs to capture the Mountain West crown again in 2010.
- Watch out for the Ohio State Buckeyes. Jim Tressel's team completely shutdown the vaunted offense of the Oregon Ducks in the Rose Bowl and quarterback Terrelle Pryor flashed the promise that made him the nation's top-rated recruit in 2008. The entire offense and most of the defense returns next season, as well. The schedule features a visit from Miami(Fl.), Penn State and road trips to Wisconsin and Iowa. Much to the chagrin of many college football fans, the Buckeyes could be playing for the BCS Championship again next season.
- What to make of the Florida Gators? With head coach Urban Meyer's change of heart to take a leave of absence (after originally resigning),Tim Tebow's graduation, and defensive coordinator Charlie Strong leaving to become the head coach at Louisville, what will happen to this team? I see a step back, but not a collapse. Tebow will be replaced by another high school All-American, most likely John Brantley, who will be throwing passes to other former prep stars. I see this team still winning the SEC East, but not competing for the national title with road trips to Baton Rouge, Knoxville, and Tuscaloosa on the horizon.
- 2010 will end the SEC's string of national champions. Florida will still be arguably the most talented team in the country but must go through some growing pains in the transition. Alabama should be the class of the SEC once again, but after an intriguing non-conference game in Tuscaloosa against Penn State, the Tide must travel to Arkansas, Tennessee, South Carolin and LSU. Its difficult to imagine the 2010 Crimson Tide navigating all of that unscathed after all of their personnel losses from the previous year's outstanding defense.
Lost in all of the "SEC superiority" is the fact that it has basically become a two-team league. In both 2008 and 2009 it was Alabama and Florida and then everyone else below that. This was true in the bowls as well as LSU, Kentucky, Tennessee and South Carolina all lost their bowls, and the league overall was only 6-4 in the postseason.
- Speaking of the SEC, there are 3 sleeper teams to watch out for. Arkansas, South Carolina and Tennessee. While I think Florida will be down I still see them as the best team in the SEC East. The Gamecocks and Volunteers do threaten that, and the Gators must travel to Knoxville. Steve Spurrier's team returns virtually everyone, but will that be enough? Judging from the past all signs point to no, but it's not inconceivable to see the Gamecocks win 9 games in 2010. The same can be said of Lane Kiffin's Vols, but the week before they face the Gators they must take on the Oregon Ducks.
- The Pac-10 Championship goes through Oregon. With Joe McKnight surprisingly turning pro, Pete Carroll potentially leaving to coach in the NFL and Southern Cal's 9-4 record in 2009, all signs point to a downturn for the Trojans (even if it is only brief). The Oregon Ducks are the team to beat in the Pac-10 now with do-everything quarterback Jeremiah Masoli and speedy LaMichael James running the ball. Oregon State also plays into the mix with the twin brother duo of Jacquizz and James Rodgers keeping defensive coordinators up at night.
- The ACC Coastal Division will be one of the toughest in all of college football. While the ACC is unquestionably one of the weakest BCS conferences, the 2010 Coastal Division should be as hard fought as any in the land. Virginia Tech, Miami, North Carolina, and Georgia Tech will all lock horns for the right to play in the ACC Championship Game. Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech and possibly Miami should all be preseason top 15 teams as well, so this division will have BCS ramifications. Look for the Hokies to take that division as well as the ACC Conference Championship next season.
- The ACC will have a national championship contender. Whether it is Georgia Tech or Virginia Tech (or possibly Miami) someone from the ACC will emerge as a title contender. My money is on the Hokies who return one of the best backfields in the country with sophomores Ryan Williams and Darren Evans both the owners of 1,200+ yard rushing seasons. Quarterback Tyrod Taylor (2,311 yards, 13 TDs) returns as well. The Hokie defense must fill some holes, but defensive coordinator Bud Foster will have his unit ready to go by the opening game. The match-up against Boise State could set up a run for the title for one of those two teams. Also, if Miami can navigate their brutal out-of-conference schedule ( at Ohio State, at Pittsburgh, USF) they could be in the hunt for a BCS berth.
- The Big XII is wide open. Texas, like Florida, returns a ton of talent but much of it will be inexperienced. Oklahoma, who endured a rough season in 2009, also replaces several key faces but with Landry Jones back at quarterback their offense should be potent. However, it looks like the Nebraska Cornhuskers may be the team to beat in 2010 even without Ndamukong Suh anchoring the defense. Bo Pelini has his Huskers playing tough defense, and after a 10-win season in 2009 bigger things could be on the horizon.
- Clemson: As an alumnus, I have to talk about my Tigers for a bit. This past season probably exceeded most expectations with a long overdue trip to the conference title game. A 9-5 record was a solid debut for Dabo Swinney in his first year as coach, but a loss to woeful Maryland and in-state rival South Carolina clouded what could have been a stellar campaign (11-3 without those two pitiful games). Clemson's schedule gets much more difficult in 2010 with a non-conference trip to Auburn. Also, the conference schedule ramps up in difficulty as well.
Home games: Maryland, NC State, Miami, Georgia Tech, South Carolina, Presbyterian, North Texas
Away games: Florida State, North Carolina, Boston College, Wake Forest, Auburn
More on Clemson later...
- Ohio State will win the 2010 National Championship. After watching almost every bowl game I felt the most impressed by what Ohio State has for next season. Boise State may play against them, but their game against Virginia Tech is a real toss-up. I expect Alabama and Florida to slip back to the rest of the pack some and lose just enough games to keep an SEC representative out of the title game. I think parity will keep the SEC, Pac-10, Big East and Big XII champions out of the title game. A one-loss Virginia Tech, Miami or Georgia Tech could land themselves in the title game as well, since all should start the season highly ranked. Ultimately though, Boise State holds their title game chances in their own hands. If they go undefeated next season it will be incredibly difficult to keep them out of the BCS title bout.
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