Wednesday, June 1, 2011

More NBA: Who would win in 3-on-3?

I think it's pretty fair to say that Miami's Big 3 are the best trio the NBA has seen since Larry Bird, Kevin McHale and Robert Parish manned the Celtics frontcourt in the 1980s. With all of the talk of 'LeBron is the next great (insert star)' it's looking more and more apparent that he and Dwayne Wade are 1A and 1B, depending on the night, with Chris Bosh a solid 3rd option. I know this trio does not have a ring together yet, but that appears imminent. Will this be a dynasty? Possibly. Will they win 6-7 rings? Doubtful, just because of how hard it is to achieve that, and the fact that these guys have ALOT of mileage on their tires despite their relative youth (mid-late 20s). How does this trio stack up to other great threesomes in NBA history? Let's see how a fictional match-up with great trios in history might pan out.

Cousy-Havlicek-Russell.

Bob Cousy, John Havlicek and Bill Russell combined to win eight NBA championships for the Boston Celtics in the 1960s and 70s. That being said, Cousy was 6'1" (which may be generous), Havlicek 6'5" and Russell 6'9". The 6'4", 6'8" and 6'10" (Wade, James, and Bosh) would just be too long and athletic for this trio to overcome. Advantage: Heat.

Bird-McHale-Parish

While the Heat have a size advantage over the original Celtics trio, they are significantly smaller than this group of Bostonians. Bird was 6'9", McHale 6'10" and Parish 7'0". For all of the LeBron being compared to Jordan, which really isn't accurate, he is more of a Bird-type player. More athletic obviously, but not nearly as good a shooter as the Hick from French Lick. Don't believe me? Compare career numbers (through their first 7 seasons):

Larry Bird: 23.9 PPG, 10.5 RPG, 5.9 APG,
LeBron James: 27.7 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 7.0 APG

Bird would give LeBron/Wade serious trouble with his size and shooting range, and very underrated passing skills. However, James or Wade would be much too quick for him to handle. McHale could never guard LeBron on the perimeter, but Parish would provide some around-the-basket interference as a 7-footer, which is not something Wade, Bosh or LeBron have faced often in this shorter, quicker NBA era. While Wade or LeBron could beat Bird or McHale off the dribble, Parish and McHale would give Bosh considerable trouble. Meanwhile, the Celtics trio would clean up on the boards. Advantage: Even

Magic - Worthy - Kareem

Instead of using last names, Magic Johnson, James Worthy and Kareem Abdul-Jabaar need no introduction. These Lakers combined for three championships together as the "Showtime" Lakers. While LeBron is frequently compared to Magic, I still contend that the Bird comparison is more appropriate, at least statistically:

Magic (through 7 seasons): 18.5 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 12.3 APG
LeBron: 27.7 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 7.0 APG

Surprisingly, a backcourt player (Magic) without great hops (30" vertical), has more rebounds than a frontcourt player (James) and far more assists. Kareem vs. Bosh is a virtual no-brainer, as Kareem is easily going to win that match-up. Magic is the same height as LeBron (6'8"), but not as big (215 lbs. vs. 240+ lbs.) or athletic. However, he was a better passer and had very quick hands (twice lead the league in steals). James Worthy, at 6'9" 225 lbs., is an imposing match-up for either James or Wade. Neither trio features any real lights out shooters, but Kareem's patented sky hook was unstoppable/unblockable. Advantage: Magic-Worthy-Kareem

Chamberlain-West-Goodrich

Going back in the day once more, the trio of Wilt Chamberlain, Jerry West and Gail Goodrich won a league-record 69 games (which has since been surpassed) and won the NBA Championship. West averaged 25.8 ppg and 9.7 apg, while Goodrich led the team in scoring (25.9 ppg). An aging Chamberlain averaged 14.8 ppg but 19.2 rpg. This trio, while formidable, is small compared to what the Heat have now. Goodrich was only 6'1", West 6'2" and Chamberlain 7'1". Even in his later years, Chamberlain would have been able to control Bosh, but West and Goodrich would likely get swallowed by Wade and James. Advantage: Heat

Jordan-Pippen-Rodman/Grant

Since the Bulls won 3 titles, Jordan retired, and then 3 more with a different member of the trio, I have to include both Horace Grant and Dennis Rodman. Michael Jordan, who LeBron has been most commonly compared to, would have his way offensively with either Wade or James, and could defend either of them, although LeBron's strength could be a problem. However, James has yet to develop a solid post-game, so Jordan's superior quickness (lead the league in steals 3 times) could offset the size difference. In addition, Jordan and Pippen's mid-range shooting is superior to that of Wade or LeBron. Perhaps most intriguingly is Pippen's defense on LeBron, which would be much more difficult for LeBron than most realize. Pippen, himself at 6'8" 210 lbs., had incredibly long arms and significant hops (40+ inch vertical). Bosh would have his way with Grant, but Rodman would frustrate and outrebound Bosh as he did Karl Malone and Shawn Kemp in their NBA Finals match-ups. Advantage: Jordan-Pippen-Rodman/Grant.

One last comparison between Jordan and James (through 7 seasons, including Jordan's 2nd season in which he only played in 18 games due to a broken foot):

Jordan: 31.5 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 5.6 APG
James: 27.7 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 7.0 APG

As suspected, more points for Jordan, more rebounds and assists for LeBron. When Jordan's first 7 full seasons are included, the following averages result:

Jordan: 32.6 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 6.0 APG.

Through their first full 7 seasons, Jordan has a signficant lead in points per game, and James's advantage in rebounds and assists is lessened. Also, just for argument's sake, Jordan averaged 2.7 steals per game, compared to James's 1.7 spg. Again, this is more similar to Larry Bird (1.8 spg) than Jordan or Magic (2.28 spg).

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